Saturday horse racing tips from Tom Lunn at Lingfield, Ascot and Haydock
talkSPORT have you covered for horse racing with free racing tips and free bets from the day's fixtures at Lingfield, Ascot and Haydock.
Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.
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Daily horse racing tips
- LINGFIELD
1.50: Aimeric 5/2 (1.5pts) If Not Now 8/1 Each-way (1pt)
2.25: Danielle 6/4 (1.5pts)
3.00: Defiance 5/2 (1.5pts) & Arabic Legend 10/1 Each-way (1pt)
3.35: Remarquee/Great Generation combination exacta (2pts) - ASCOT
2.40: Mostabshir 8/1 Each-way (1pt) & Mums Tipple 14/1 Each-way (1pt) - HAYDOCK
3.15: Lark In The Mornin 5/2 (1.5pts)
3.50: Poet Master 11/4 (1pt)
Aimeric & If Not Now
Aimeric won last time out ahead of Perfect Play at Beverley in September 2023 and has gone up 6lb as a result.
The way he runs may well suit him at this track as he's done well on sharp courses, like Chester, before and should be even better as a five-year-old, albeit a lightly raced one.
He goes well fresh and has clearly improved since having the double op done - gelded and wind surgery.
But his win last time out was all the more impressive for winning when carrying 9-11 in comparison to the second carrying just 8-7.
Flash Bardot appeals in many ways but she will have to do it on the back of being upped 8lb since her win on seasonal debut at Doncaster and is hard to side with on that basis, especially at 4/1.
If Not Now is an interesting runner off the same mark as Aimeric, but just four-years-old could be even better and see some improvement.
The Ralph Beckett-trained grey was third behind Gregory back in April 2023, then went on to storm clear at Sandown by seven lengths.
He was next seen in July taking part in the Group 1 German Derby, before a short break before reappearing in September but did not look comfortable at all on the soft, or on the day.
He was then promptly gelded and arrives off the same mark as he was last time out at Doncaster, but could be something special if his previous form is anything to go by.
Danielle
This is for the coveted Oaks Trial, where Danielle is the clear favourite having won last time out by a staggering 12 lengths.
She was the odds-on favourite and won at a canter beating Cabrera in second and Lady La Fay in third.
It's really difficult to know how good she is on that evidence though with the runners up either not running since or not going near in subsequent races, which is usually the way to help point towards a specific horse being even more special.
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It's easy to get carried away with victories like that and there's always potential from the outsiders of the field, which seem to occur more in this kind of race where there are so many uncertainties and questions with young fillies still being unexposed.
None more so than the fact the majority of these runners will be taking on this distance for the first time.
Our Golden One galloped away strongly to win on her seasonal debut beating an 84-rated horse Mafnood by five lengths.
But she's not likely to get soft ground this time out and may be better suited to it.
That all being said, it actually only makes a stronger case for the favourite Danielle, under Kieran Shoemark for the in-form Gosdens.
She posted a great victory there and even if if wasn't in front of 90-rated horses she still did it by a ridiculous margin and did so with so much ease.
Defiance & Arabic Legend
Now for the Derby Trial Stakes, Aidan O'Brien trains the favourite Illinois, who will likely have Ryan Moore up.
But it's a stacked race with the front three not separated by much with another O'Brien horse The Euphrates only at 7/2 so could be ridden by Moore if that's his choice.
Defiance was just behind Bellum Justum last time out when stepping up to 1m2f for the first time at Epsom's Derby Trial the Blue Riband.
He had a respectable run behind Ghostwriter at Newmarket back in September.
Illinois was beaten comfortably on his seasonal debut behind Dallas Star and The Euphrates on heavy ground so it's hard to back him having been odds-on that day.
There's lots of potential in this field and it seems Defiance can remain more consistent than most, while Arabic Legend could benefit more from the step up in trip and on his second run for trainer Karl Burke.
He was second behind Arabian Crown, the favourite for the Derby, as a two-year-old and also placed fairly close behind Bellum Justum at Epsom last month.
He's a massive price and it's worth backing both, with Arabic Legend each-way as the trainer and jockey David Probert are in great form.
Remarquee/Great Generation
Had a wind op in the autumn of 2023 and has been off since July 2023 after impressing in Britain and going well enough in France in the Prix Rothschild, coming fourth of nine behind Mqse De Sevigne by nearly four lengths.
She's got great form though. As a three-year-old she had to settle for second twice in Group 1 fillies stakes, as she faced the likes of Nashwa and Tahiyra.
Her first two career runs were wins including a Group 3 at Newbury, and is being nudged down again to 7f that was also the distance on her first two runs, but was upped to 1m since.
There's plenty to like about her and the way she runs, not more so the ideal progression she's likely to show as a consisted Group 1 runner in this Group 3.
Great Generation is perhaps her only contender that can go close on paper.
The three-year-old trained by Marco Botti, is rated 100 and will receive a fair bit of weight from the more experienced four-year-old.
But she's been just behind in two Group 3 fillies before, at Ayr and Deauville.
However that latest run at Deauville has produced some great results since. Ramatuelle was second by half a length and then went on to place third behind Emalka in the 1000 Guineas.
Tamfana too, was third at Deauville and ran a stormer, unluckily held in fourth in the 1000 Guineas.
Great Generation was fourth in France just three lengths away and that was off the same weight. But now up against the four-year-old gets 12lb from Remarquee which could sway things.
Mostabshir & Mums Tipple
Ropey Guest was a 40/1 winner for the tips back in August at York, but he can be a really tough horse to predict.
Last season mostly ran well then poor subsequently for the entire 2023 campaign, that was until his last two races where he was close up in big fields, both at Ascot.
He won at York but is yet to win at Ascot and was only 15th in this last year when back from a break, so tough to side with again 11lb higher.
Popmaster might be the top-weight in this race but always runs well at this course but one of the only times he hasn't done well was in the Victoria Cup in 2022.
Mums Tipple does well here and appeals a lot as an each-way play as he's down in the weights to strike well here having already ran four times this season.
However, this race is made for four and five-year-olds. Mostabshir is having his second run of the season having impressed really well on the all-weather at Kempton on reappearance behind Mount Athos and Mums Tipple.
He's not gone up in the weights and is down from 108 as a three-year-old to run off a mark of 103 here, which is a great chance for the once Group 1 runner to go well and bounce back.
Lark In The Mornin
A popular punt for this weekend already as he's gone in from 4/1 to 5/2 before the declarations came out but he's been confirmed by trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien to be heading to Haydock for the £80,000 prize.
He beat Eagles Reign at Cheltenham Festival's Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle.
Some of the runners up have gone on to win since, even those far back in the field who didn't turn up on the day. That boosts his chances considerably but it's far from a certainty which is why he's not got 2pts attached.
Poet Master
Now for the final one, the Pertemps Network Spring Trophy Stakes, a listed contest over 7f.
There's just six runners for this but there's a lot of high calibre horses involved.
Witch Hunter represents the top-rated of the field off 113 and the youngster and outsider at 16/1 Indian Run is 105, but given 12lb from the others.
But it's Poet Master, also 105, who could be much better than that mark based on his win on seasonal debut at Newmarket to win ahead of Percy's Lad nicely.
Finishing ahead of the likes of Misty Grey, Biggles and a few other experienced horses.
Whereas this four-year-old is very lightly raced and made it four from five with that run, where he still could have won by more as he was unbalanced when heading into the final 2f, yet still managed to keep on well and win by a length.
Tom Lunn's Racing Tips Profit + Loss
- P+L from May '24: +48.16pts
- P+L from July '23: +260.72pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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